Bernie Sanders Wins Nevada — Putting Him In The Driver’s Seat To Win The...
Bernie Sanders has won the Nevada caucuses, and it looks like he’s going to win them by a big, perhaps even landslide margin. We don’t know exactly how big. As I’m writing this just before 7 p.m. Las...
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Bernie Sanders Is The Front-Runner
With 60 percent of precincts reporting in Nevada, it’s time for us to turn our 2020 primary forecast back on, as we think the results we have are pretty representative and the topline picture appears...
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With 7 Candidates Debating In South Carolina, The Stage Is, Umm, Getting...
We’re at the point in the election cycle — after three states have voted — that the debate stage is supposed to shrink, not grow. But apparently the 2020 Democratic field didn’t get the memo. After six...
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Election Update: What Our Forecast Says About Every Super Tuesday State
South Carolina has yet to vote, but there’s an even bigger prize lurking right around the corner. On March 3 — Super Tuesday — roughly one-third of Democrats nationwide will weigh in on the 2020...
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Election Update: Biden Surges In South Carolina
After former Vice President Joe Biden finished second in the Nevada caucuses, someone at his post-election speech shouted out, “Comeback kid!” It seemed like an odd claim at the time — Biden finished...
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What Our Forecast Says In Massachusetts, Maine And Vermont
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s six-part (!) Super Tuesday preview! Over the next several days, we’ll take you through our primary forecast state by state and district by district, highlighting which...
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Election Update: Buttigieg Dropping Out Isn’t Good For Sanders
Pete Buttigieg’s decision to drop out of the race two days before Super Tuesday has hurt Sen. Bernie Sanders in our primary forecast. Sanders’s chances of winning a majority of pledged delegates fell...
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Pick Your Own Super Tuesday Winners And Watch The Race Change
We’re letting you be the boss of our Democratic primary forecast. Decide what happens in these 15 contests and see how candidates’ odds change. 2020 Democratic primary forecastHow our primary forecast...
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Amy Klobuchar Looked Great On Paper. What Went Wrong?
Of the numerous Democratic presidential candidates who ran on an “I can beat Trump” message, Sen. Amy Klobuchar made perhaps the best case on paper. Lots of voters are basically looking for someone who...
View ArticlePolitics Podcast: What’s At Stake On Super Tuesday
By Galen Druke, Micah Cohen, Clare Malone and Nate Silver, Galen Druke, Micah Cohen, Clare Malone and Nate Silver, Galen Druke, Micah Cohen, Clare Malone and Nate Silver and Galen Druke, Micah Cohen,...
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Election Update: Klobuchar’s Exit Boosts The Odds No One Will Win A Delegate...
On Monday afternoon, Sen. Amy Klobuchar suspended her campaign for president, and she will now endorse former Vice President Joe Biden at a rally tonight. It’s hard to miss that this came on the heels...
View ArticleSuper Tuesday Preview: Sanders And Biden Are Duking It Out In Texas
Super Tuesday is tomorrow (!), so FiveThirtyEight is unpacking what our forecast has to say about the 14 states and one territory voting that day. We’ve already gone through the state of play in many...
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What Are The Biggest Super Tuesday Wild Cards?
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Today is Super Tuesday! The Super Bowl of primary elections...
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How Will Biden Choose His Running Mate?
There will likely be months of debate over who presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden should pick as his running mate — and what criteria he should use in making that decision. We already know one...
View ArticlePolitics Podcast: What Biden’s VP Picks Say About Him
By Galen Druke, Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari, Galen Druke, Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari and Galen Druke, Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Embed Embed...
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The Debate Over Biden’s VP Pick Is Full Of Half-Truths And Misleading Arguments
People who want Sen. Kamala Harris or another Black woman to be former Vice President Joe Biden’s running mate often claim that a Black woman will substantially boost enthusiasm among Black voters....
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